Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.