Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 38.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5%) and 1-0 (4.77%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.