Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 71.11%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 14.45% and a draw had a probability of 14.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 3-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.