Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.55%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 15.53% and a draw had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.29%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (2.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.