Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 14
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Christian McFarlane 18' goal
  • Matty Warhurst 52' goal
  • Kylan Midwood 53' yellowcard
  • Matty Warhurst 72' goal
  • Rhys Thomas 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Mills 15'
  • yellowcard Marley Wilson 76'

Manchester City Under-21s vs Leeds United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 2.00pm
Stoke U21s 1 - 6 Man City U21s
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Matty Warhurst

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 12.30pm
Leeds U21s 0 - 4 Arsenal U21s
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Freddie Lane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.55%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 15.53% and a draw had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.29%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (2.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City Under-21s 69.55% (+0.83)
Draw 14.92% (+0.01)
Leeds United Under-21s 15.53% (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.58% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 90.67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 9.33% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 75.71% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 24.29% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 59.99% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 40.01% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 44.46% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 55.54% (+0.65)

First Half Winner

Manchester City Under-21s 55.77% (+0.08)
Draw 25.21% (+0.25)
Leeds United Under-21s 19.02% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Manchester City Under-21s 65.25% (+0.02)
No Goal 1.84% (-0.05)
Leeds United Under-21s 32.91% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 66.61% (-0.08)
Equal 8 9.07%
Under 8 24.32% (+0.08)
Over 9 56.69% (-0.08)
Equal 9 9.91% (-0.01)
Under 9 33.39% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 46.63% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 53.37% (+0.06)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 74.74% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 25.26% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 52.26% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 47.74% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 31.59% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 68.41% (+0.26)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 49.43% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 50.57% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 25.46% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 74.54% (+0.82)
Over 2.5 10.31% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 89.69% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 3.72% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 96.28% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 69.54%
Draw 14.93%
Leeds United Under-21s 15.53%
Manchester City Under-21s
3-1 @ 8.47% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 7.32% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 7.29% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.32% (+0.29)
3-2 @ 5.05% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 4.94% (+0.15)
Other @ 31.15% (-0.23)
Total : 69.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.66% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 1.84% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.44% (-0.04)
Total : 14.93%
Leeds United Under-21s
1-2 @ 2.97% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 2.55% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.20)
Other @ 3.28% (-0.25)
Total : 15.53%