Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.74%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.