Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%).