Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Finley McAllister 68' yellowcard
  • L. Bradbury 79' yellowcard
  • G. Kukonki 85' yellowcard
  • L. Bradbury 90'+2' goal
  • goal Justin Oguntolu 19'
  • yellowcard Jayden Davidson 46'
  • yellowcard Raymond Offor 65'
  • yellowcard Luke Banks 65'
  • yellowcard Marley Mintus 65'

Manchester United Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
WBA U21s 1 - 5 Man Utd U21s
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Chido Obi

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 0 - 0 Forest U21s
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Justin Oguntolu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United Under-21s 56.92% (+0.02)
Draw 17.48%
Derby County Under-21s 25.6% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 91.24% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 8.76% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 76.97%
Under 2.5 23.03%
Over 3.5 56.13%
Under 3.5 43.87%
Over 4.5 40.93%
Under 4.5 59.07%

First Half Winner

Manchester United Under-21s 47.13%
Draw 27.49%
Derby County Under-21s 25.39%

Team To Score First

Manchester United Under-21s 59.64%
No Goal 2.08%
Derby County Under-21s 38.28%

Corners

Over 8 64.84%
Equal 8 9.8%
Under 8 25.36%
Over 9 54.29%
Equal 9 10.55%
Under 9 35.16%
Over 10.5 43.8%
Under 10.5 56.2%

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 64.57%
Under 1.5 35.43%
Over 2.5 42.5%
Under 2.5 57.5%
Over 3.5 24.23%
Under 3.5 75.77%

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 60.64% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.36% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.84% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.39% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.61% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.24%
Under 3.5 92.76%

Score analysis

Manchester United Under-21s 56.91%
Draw 17.49%
Derby County Under-21s 25.59%
Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.52%
1-0 @ 3.83%
Other @ 23.65%
Total : 56.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 2.32%
0-0 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.49%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-1 @ 2.84%
0-2 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.66%
Total : 25.59%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 1, 2024 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 4
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Zachary Baumann 31' goal
  • Ethan Williams 68' goal
  • Sam Murray 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tony Weston 23'
  • goal Tony Weston 38'
  • yellowcard Max Bardell 41'
  • goal Cruz Allen 44'
  • goal Adebayo Fapetu 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Darren Robinson 67'