Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Manchester United Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
WBA U21s 1 - 5 Man Utd U21s
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Shea Lacey

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 0 - 0 Forest U21s
Goals scored
13

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Derby County Under-21s has a probability of 25.61% and a draw has a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win is 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.82%).

Result

Manchester United Under-21s 56.91% (-0.13)
Draw 17.48% (-0.04)
Derby County Under-21s 25.61% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.96% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 91.25% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 8.75% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 76.97% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 23.03% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 56.13% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 43.87% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 40.93% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 59.07% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Manchester United Under-21s 47.13% (-1.30)
Draw 27.49% (-0.59)
Derby County Under-21s 25.39% (+1.90)

Team To Score First

Manchester United Under-21s 59.64% (-3.16)
No Goal 2.08% (-0.01)
Derby County Under-21s 38.28% (+3.18)

Corners

Over 8 64.84% (-5.10)
Equal 8 9.8% (+0.47)
Under 8 25.36% (+4.65)
Over 9 54.29% (-5.18)
Equal 9 10.55% (+0.09)
Under 9 35.16% (+5.10)
Over 10.5 43.8% (-4.86)
Under 10.5 56.2% (+4.86)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 64.57%
Under 1.5 35.43%
Over 2.5 42.5% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 57.5% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 24.23% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 75.77% (-0.25)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 60.65% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 39.35% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 36.17%
Under 1.5 63.83%
Over 2.5 17.4% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 82.6% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 7.24% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.76% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United Under-21s 56.91%
Draw 17.49%
Derby County Under-21s 25.6%
Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.21% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 4.82% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.52% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 3.83% (-0.46)
Other @ 23.65% (+0.23)
Total : 56.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.82% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58% (+0.02)
Total : 17.49%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.08% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 2.84% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.42)
Other @ 6.66% (+0.01)
Total : 25.6%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 1, 2024 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 4
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Zachary Baumann 31' goal
  • Ethan Williams 68' goal
  • Sam Murray 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tony Weston 23'
  • goal Tony Weston 38'
  • yellowcard Max Bardell 41'
  • goal Cruz Allen 44'
  • goal Adebayo Fapetu 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Darren Robinson 67'