Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.