Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-21s win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.12% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%) , while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.