Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley U21 win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley U21 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.47%) and 3-1 (6.44%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.