Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.56% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%) , while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.