Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.11%) and 1-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.