Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.