Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.75% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.