Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.51%) and 1-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.