Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.