Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 3-2 (5.02%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.