Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Nathan Harriel 3' goal
  • Neil Pierre 11' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 12' goal
  • Cavan Sullivan 53' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 59' yellowcard
  • Japhet Sery Larsen 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Pedraza Reyna 35'
  • goal Matías Espíndola 79'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Faravelli 87'

Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 1.00am
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Philadelphia

Necaxa

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 0 Necaxa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.61% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%) , while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 57.87% (+1.33)
Draw 23.61% (-0.11)
Necaxa 18.52% (-1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.61% (-0.94)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.19% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 24.81% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 51.65% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 48.35% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 29.8% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 70.2% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 18.23%
Under 4.5 81.77%

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 42.42% (+0.89)
Draw 39.48% (-0.74)
Necaxa 18.1% (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 63.79% (-0.62)
No Goal 7.2% (-0.04)
Necaxa 29.01% (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 64.83% (+2.41)
Equal 8 10.18% (-0.09)
Under 8 24.99% (-2.34)
Over 9 53.88% (+2.29)
Equal 9 10.96% (+0.14)
Under 9 35.17% (-2.41)
Over 10.5 43.02% (+2.00)
Under 10.5 56.98% (-2.00)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 53.07% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 46.93% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 27.27% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 72.73% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 11.63% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 88.37% (-0.54)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 53% (-1.54)
Under 0.5 47% (+1.54)
Over 1.5 21.04% (-1.34)
Under 1.5 78.96% (+1.34)
Over 2.5 6.65% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 93.35% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 1.95% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 98.05% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 57.86%
Draw 23.61%
Necaxa 18.52%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.83% (+0.30)
2-0 @ 10.21% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.41% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.34% (+0.49)
Total : 57.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.05)
Total : 23.61%
Necaxa
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.23)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.66% (-0.39)
Total : 18.52%