/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fperlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fspalog.png)
-
Jairo Vélez
66'
-
Renzo Garcés
86'
-
Mikel Oyarzabal
2'
-
Pedri
32'
-
Pedro Gallese
53'
(OG)
Peru vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.79%) and 0-3 (11.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.59%) , while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result
Peru
7.04%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
18.9%
Spain
74.1%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
30.85%
▲
(+0.71)
Goals
Over 1.5
68.96%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 1.5
31.04%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 2.5
44%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 2.5
56%
▼
(-0.71)
Over 3.5
23.9%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 3.5
76.1%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 4.5
16.93%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 4.5
83.07%
▼
(-0.48)
Peru Goals
Over 1.5
6.32%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
93.68%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 2.5
1.01%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
98.99%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
0.15%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
99.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5
85.55%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
14.45%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
58.65%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 1.5
41.35%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 2.5
32.58%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 2.5
67.42%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 3.5
15.14%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 3.5
84.86%
▼
(-0.36)
Score analysis
Peru
7.04%
Draw
18.9%
Spain
74.09%
Peru
1-0
@
3.84%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 7.04%
2-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 7.04%
Draw
0-0
@
9.59%
▼
(-0.17)
1-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.9%
1-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.9%
Spain
0-1
@
17.64%
▼
(-0.29)
0-2 @ 16.79% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 15.11% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 74.09%
0-2 @ 16.79% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 15.11% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 74.09%