Copa Libertadores
Sep 9, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Agustín Giay 26' goal
  • Gustavo Gómez   44' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fuchs  90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Estrada 12'
  • yellowcard Fernando Cornejo  22'
  • yellowcard Yerlin Quiñónez 32'
  • yellowcard Gian Franco Allala 73'

Palmeiras vs LDU Quito - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

LDU Quito

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.07% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 57.89% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 25.07% ▲ (+0.02)
LDU Quito 17.04% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.83% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 30.17% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 43.69% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 56.31% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 21.65% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 78.35% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 12.61% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 87.39% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 36.87% ▼ (-2.48)
Draw 45.36% ▲ (+1.34)
LDU Quito 17.77% ▲ (+1.13)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 58.94% ▼ (-2.06)
No Goal 8.93% ▲ (+0.05)
LDU Quito 32.13% ▲ (+2.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.96% ▼ (-2.32)
Equal 8 10.38% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 8 30.67% ▲ (+2.20)
Over 9 48.27% ▼ (-2.27)
Equal 9 10.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 41.04% ▲ (+2.32)
Over 10.5 38.09% ▼ (-2.06)
Under 10.5 61.91% ▲ (+2.06)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 48.35% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 51.65% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 22.41% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 77.59% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 8.36% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 91.64% ▲ (+0.30)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 49.27% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 0.5 50.73% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 16.84% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 83.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 4.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 95.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 0.97%
Under 3.5 99.03%

Score analysis

Palmeiras 57.89%
Draw 25.08%
LDU Quito 17.03%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.76% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 11.99% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.27)
Total : 57.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.08%
LDU Quito
0-1 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 17.03%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Oct 31, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa Libertadores
Oct 24, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT