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[monks data]
Nottingham Forest logo
Championship | Gameweek 6
Oct 20, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Rotherham logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Rotherham

Ameobi (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barlaser (51' pen.)
Lindsay (54'), Harding (90+1')

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs Rotherham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Rotherham United, including predictions and team news.

Chris Hughton will be hoping to make it two wins from two when he takes charge of his first home match as Nottingham Forest manager against Rotherham United on Tuesday.

Joe Lolley's 90th-minute deflected strike secured a 1-0 win over Blackburn Rovers on Saturday, getting Hughton's reign off to the perfect start.


Match preview

Chris Hughton pictured in charge of Nottingham Forest on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Forest's victory was their first of the campaign following five consecutive defeats in all competitions that led to Sabri Lamouchi losing his job in the international break.

The Reds have won just two of their last ten home games – a sign of the way Lamouchi's tenure ended as the club suffered a collapse at the end of last season.

Lolley's strike at the weekend was just their second goal of 2020-21 and lifted them out of the Championship relegation zone to 20th.

It was not just the result but also the performance that would have pleased Hughton, with Forest having several opportunities before eventually scoring as the clock ticked into added time.

Rotherham themselves were the victims of some late drama on Saturday, conceding a 95th-minute penalty to lose 2-1 to Norwich City.

Rotherham United's Matt Crooks and Norwich City's Ben Gibson in action in the Championship on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Freddie Ladapo had given the Millers the lead in the game, and also missed a spot kick of his own, as the Canaries snatched all three points at the New York Stadium. Angus MacDonald was sent off in the second half to compound Rotherham's woes.

It means that the newly-promoted side have not won since their opening-day victory over Wycombe Wanderers.

That stands as one of just two wins for Rotherham in their last 48 Championship away games, a record they will have to put right if they are to avoid an immediate return to League One.

As was the case on Saturday, Paul Warne will not be in the dugout for this fixture as he is self-isolating after a member of his family tested positive for coronavirus.

Rotherham won the last meeting between the two sides in April 2019, but that was their first victory over Forest since 1956. In between that time, Forest's unbeaten run against the Millers stood at 23 games.

Nottingham Forest Championship form: LLLLW
Nottingham Forest form (all competitions): LLLLLW

Rotherham United Championship form: WLDDL
Rotherham United form (all competitions): DWLDDL


Team News

Rotherham United manager Paul Warne pictured on September 12, 2020© Reuters

Chris Hughton may hand Anthony Knockaert his Nottingham Forest debut after the Frenchman signed on loan on deadline day.

Fellow new signing Harry Arter is likely to start after coming off the bench to replace the injured Jack Colback against Blackburn.

Lewis Grabban is without a goal in his last eight appearances and could be replaced by Lyle Taylor.

Angus MacDonald is suspended following his red card against Norwich, so Clark Robertson is likely to move from left-back to his more natural position in the centre.

That will allow Joe Mattock to return to the side after completing a period of self-isolation, while Kieran Sadlier is also in line for a recall.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Christie, Figueiredo, McKenna, Ioannou; Yates, Arter; Lolley, Freeman, Knockaert; Taylor

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Blackman; Harding, Ihiekwe, Robertson, Mattock; Crooks, S. MacDonald, Barlaser; Miller, Ladapo, Sadlier


SM words green background

We say: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Rotherham United

The new manager bounce is in full swing at the City Ground and Forest should get another win against a Rotherham side missing the presence of their own boss. Hughton will want to see his team be more clinical though.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.


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