Nottingham Forest and Cardiff City will be aiming to get off the mark with their first points of the Championship season when they meet at the City Ground on Saturday.
Both sides lost their opening league fixtures of the campaign and were eliminated from the EFL Cup at the first hurdle, placing added importance on this weekend's fixture.
Match preview
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Arguably the last team Forest would want to play after making a disappointing start to the new season is Cardiff if their home record against the Bluebirds is anything to go by.
The Reds have lost their last five home league matches against City - their joint-worst home losing run against an opponent - most recently going down 1-0 last November.
Like Forest, though, Cardiff enter this contest in bad form after losing 3-0 at Northampton Town in the cup and 2-0 at home to Sheffield Wednesday in their opening league game.
Neil Harris was quick to play down the heavy loss to third-tier Northampton given the lack of preparation, but the Wednesday defeat would have hurt the City boss.
Cardiff offered very little against the Owls before and after conceding two first-half goals and now have to quickly pick themselves up for this trip to the Midlands.
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Forest also exited the EFL Cup in round one - Cauley Woodrow scoring the only goal of the game in a 1-0 loss to Barnsley - before tasting a 2-0 reverse against Queen Park Rangers.
Head coach Sabri Lamouchi put the opening weekend defeat down to mistakes being made at both ends, which he has had a week to work on off the pitch.
Forest badly slipped away last season and have carried that negative form into 2020-21, their winless run now spanning eight matches in all competitions.
The good news for the Reds is that they have lost their first home league game of a season in just three of the last 34 years, albeit with one of those defeats coming last term.
We may still be in the opening month of the campaign, but defeat for Forest or Cardiff on Saturday and the pressure will already be on either Lamouchi or Harris.
Nottingham Forest Championship form: L
Nottingham Forest form (all competitions): LL
Cardiff City Championship form: L
Cardiff City form (all competitions): LL
Team News
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Lamouchi confirmed at his pre-match news conference that Portuguese midfielder Tiago Silva is out until September because of an injury issue.
Silva is Forest's only injury concern, however, with Joe Lolley available again after recently overcoming a shin problem.
Forest completed the signing of teenage centre-back Loic Mbe Soh from Paris Saint-Germain in the week, but he is not expected to play any part in this match.
As for Cardiff, star man Lee Tomlin is in contention to start after coming on as a second-half substitute in the defeat to Wednesday.
Joe Ralls, who was just as influential in the Bluebirds' run to the playoffs just a few months ago, is also available after overcoming an injury issue of his own.
Northern Ireland international Gavin Whyte is out with a hamstring injury, however, and Isaac Vassell is still not ready to make a return to competitive action.
Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Jenkinson, Worrall, Figueiredo, Blackett; Colback, Yates; Lolley, Freeman, Ameobi; Grabban
Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Smithies; Osei-Tutu, Morrison, Nelson, Bennett; Vaulks, Bacuna, Tomlin; Murphy, Moore, Hoilett
We say: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Cardiff City
Forest enter this match on a four game losing run - a rut that they quite simply have to bring an end to. Cardiff are also in need of a positive result and, on the basis of their recent visits to the City Ground, we are backing them to snatch three points here.
Top betting tip
Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data
Daniel Lewis
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
