Nations League
Gameweek
5
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-
Terry Devlin
68'
-
Jamie Donley
75'
-
M. O'Neill
82'
-
Michael O'Neill
82'
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 30.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (11.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result
Northern Ireland
36.03%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
30.03%
▼
(-0.03)
Ukraine
33.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
43.83%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
64.77%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
35.23%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 2.5
37.81%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
62.19%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
17.82%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
82.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
8.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
91.4%
▼
(-0.04)
First Half Winner
Northern Ireland
26.92%
Draw
47.96%
Ukraine
25.12%
Team To Score First
Northern Ireland
46.21%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
11.36%
▼
(-0.06)
Ukraine
42.43%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
40.81%
Equal 8
11.89%
Under 8
47.3%
Over 9
30.23%
Equal 9
10.58%
Under 9
59.19%
Over 10.5
21.54%
Under 10.5
78.46%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 1.5
30.03%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
69.97%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
10.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
89.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
2.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
97.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
64.19%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
35.81%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
28.48%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
71.52%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 2.5
9.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
90.66%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
2.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
97.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Northern Ireland
36.03%
Draw
30.03%
Ukraine
33.95%
Northern Ireland
1-0
@
12.21%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.03%
2-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.03%
Draw
1-1
@
13.82%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 30.03%
0-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 30.03%
Ukraine
0-1
@
11.67%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.27%
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.95%
1-2 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.27%
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.95%
Head to Head
Nations League
Gameweek
3
-
Mykola Matvienko
57'
-
Matviy Ponomarenko
88'
-
Danylo Sikan
88'
-
Ciaron Brown
9'
-
Isaac Price
22'
-
Ciaron Brown
61'
-
Brodie Spencer
64'
International Friendlies
-
Oleksandr Zubkov
10'
-
Artem Besedin
90'+2'
-
Paddy McNair
90'+3'
International Friendlies
European Championship
-
Yevhen Seleznyov
40'
-
Serhiy Sydorchuk
67'
-
Gareth McAuley
49'
-
Jamie Ward
63'
-
Stuart Dallas
87'
-
Jonny Evans
95'
-
Niall McGinn
96'