NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick Rangers vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Ballymena 0 - 0 Carrick
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 0 - 0 Cliftonville
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sean Graham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 34.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win is 2-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).

Result

Carrick Rangers 34.69%
Draw 25.62%
Larne 39.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.15%
Under 1.5 22.85%
Over 2.5 55.04%
Under 2.5 44.96%
Over 3.5 31.99%
Under 3.5 68.01%
Over 4.5 18.64%
Under 4.5 81.36%

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 27.36%
Draw 42.1%
Larne 30.55%

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 43.07%
No Goal 7.01%
Larne 49.92%

Corners

Over 8 64.2%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 24.84%
Over 9 52.42%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 35.8%
Over 10.5 40.87%
Under 10.5 59.13%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 37.31%
Under 1.5 62.69%
Over 2.5 15.7%
Under 2.5 84.3%
Over 3.5 5.26%
Under 3.5 94.74%

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 72.54%
Under 0.5 27.46%
Over 1.5 41.59%
Under 1.5 58.41%
Over 2.5 18.54%
Under 2.5 81.46%
Over 3.5 7.18%
Under 3.5 92.82%

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 34.68%
Draw 25.61%
Larne 39.68%
Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.08%
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 4.95%
Total : 34.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 5.92%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 25.61%
Larne
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 2.5%
Other @ 6.87%
Total : 39.68%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Inver Park
  • Matthew Lusty 46' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 46' yellowcard
  • Tiarnan O'Connor 46' yellowcard
  • Dylan Sloan 46' yellowcard
  • Tiarnan O'Connor 49' goal
  • Dan Bent 77' yellowcard
  • Dan Bent 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danny Purkis 20'
  • goal Joe Crowe 41'
  • goal Paul Heatley 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 66'
  • yellowcard Joseph Moore 70'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Heatley 56' goal
  • yellowcard Leroy Millar 34'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 59'
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 80'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 85'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 89'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Joe Crowe 90'+3' goal
  • goal Sean Graham 66'
  • goal 83'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 23' goal
  • Kurtis Forsythe 40' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rohan Ferguson 24'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 52'
  • goal Sean Graham 66'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 71'
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 83'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Cian Bolger 89' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 71'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 78'