NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Inver Park

Larne vs Bangor City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 2 - 1 Glentoran
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Sean Graham

Bangor City

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 0 - 0 Ballymena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw has a probability of 25.14% and a win for Bangor City has a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Bangor City win it is 0-1 (6.82%).

Result

Larne 50.37%
Draw 25.14% (+1.18)
Bangor City 24.49% (-1.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.41% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 24.59% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 51.61% (-1.47)
Under 2.5 48.39% (+1.47)
Over 3.5 29.42% (-1.61)
Under 3.5 70.58% (+1.61)
Over 4.5 17.07% (-1.22)
Under 4.5 82.93% (+1.23)

First Half Winner

Larne 37.01% (-1.68)
Draw 43.71% (+2.15)
Bangor City 19.28% (-0.49)

Team To Score First

Larne 58.16% (-0.85)
No Goal 7.09% (+0.55)
Bangor City 34.75% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 51.82% (-0.44)
Equal 8 12.57% (+0.51)
Under 8 35.61% (-0.08)
Over 9 39.59% (-0.92)
Equal 9 12.23% (+0.48)
Under 9 48.18% (+0.44)
Over 10.5 28.73% (-1.26)
Under 10.5 71.27% (+1.26)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 47.86% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 52.14% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 22.69% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 77.31% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 8.69% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 91.31% (+0.36)

Bangor City Goals

Over 0.5 60.45% (-0.62)
Under 0.5 39.55% (+0.62)
Over 1.5 27.07% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 72.93% (+1.20)
Over 2.5 9.1% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 90.9% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 2.62% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 97.38% (+0.40)

Score analysis

Larne 50.37%
Draw 25.14%
Bangor City 24.49%
Larne
1-0 @ 10.68% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 8.47% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.76% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.13)
Other @ 8.55% (-0.45)
Total : 50.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (+0.54)
0-0 @ 7.09% (+0.55)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.10)
Total : 25.14%
Bangor City
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.48% (-0.50)
Total : 24.49%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Solitude
  • Andy Ryan 19' goal
  • Andy Ryan 37' goal
  • Andy Ryan 38' goal
  • James Simpson 71' yellowcard
  • James Simpson 72' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Magee 79' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 79' yellowcard
  • Matt Lusty 79' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lusty 79' yellowcard
  • Benji Magee 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Garrett 46'
  • yellowcard Ben Cushnie 46'
  • yellowcard Alfie Mitchell 46'
  • goal Ben Cushnie 52'
  • yellowcard Jay Boyd 64'
  • yellowcard Liam Hassin 64'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT