NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 53' yellowcard
  • Dylan Sloan 76' goal
  • yellowcard Alfie Mitchell 15'
  • yellowcard Lewis Harrison 24'

Larne vs Bangor City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 2 - 1 Glentoran
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Sean Graham

Bangor City

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 2 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Lewis Francis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.11% and a win for Bangor City had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Bangor City win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Larne 50.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 25.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Bangor City 24.58% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.78% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.62% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 24.38% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 51.81% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 48.19% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 29.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 70.45% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 17.19% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 82.81% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Larne 36.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 43.58% ▼ (-0.14)
Bangor City 19.48% ▲ (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Larne 57.83% ▼ (-0.33)
No Goal 7.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Bangor City 35.11% ▲ (+0.36)

Corners

Over 8 51.72% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 35.75% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 39.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 12.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 48.28% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 28.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 47.99% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 52.01% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 22.79% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 77.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 91.26% ▼ (-0.05)

Bangor City Goals

Over 0.5 60.54% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 39.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 27.23% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 72.77% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 9.19% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Larne 50.33%
Draw 25.11%
Bangor City 24.58%
Larne
1-0 @ 10.55% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 50.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.11%
Bangor City
0-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.58%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Solitude
  • Andy Ryan 19' goal
  • Andy Ryan 37' goal
  • Andy Ryan 38' goal
  • James Simpson 71' yellowcard
  • James Simpson 72' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Magee 79' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 79' yellowcard
  • Matt Lusty 79' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lusty 79' yellowcard
  • Benji Magee 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Garrett 46'
  • yellowcard Ben Cushnie 46'
  • yellowcard Alfie Mitchell 46'
  • goal Ben Cushnie 52'
  • yellowcard Jay Boyd 64'
  • yellowcard Liam Hassin 64'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT