NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Sean Graham 52' goal
  • Matthew Lusty 73' goal
  • 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Kane  30'
  • yellowcard Jordan Stewart 34'
  • yellowcard James Douglas 41'
  • goal Aaron McEneff 88'

Larne vs Glentoran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
Ballymena 0 - 0 Larne
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Sean Graham

Glentoran

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 1 - 2 Crusaders
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Jordan Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Larne 39.15% ▲ (+3.66)
Draw 25.91% ▼ (-0.79)
Glentoran 34.94% ▼ (-2.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.38% ▲ (+3.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.75% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 1.5 25.25% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 2.5 51.83% ▲ (+2.63)
Under 2.5 48.17% ▼ (-2.63)
Over 3.5 29.51% ▲ (+2.50)
Under 3.5 70.49% ▼ (-2.50)
Over 4.5 16.85% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 4.5 83.15% ▼ (-1.82)

First Half Winner

Larne 29.21% ▲ (+3.29)
Draw 43.17% ▼ (-0.98)
Glentoran 27.63% ▼ (-2.30)

Team To Score First

Larne 47.63% ▲ (+2.66)
No Goal 7.18% ▼ (-1.04)
Glentoran 45.19% ▼ (-1.63)

Corners

Over 8 46.42% ▼ (-0.72)
Equal 8 11.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 8 41.9% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 9 35.52% ▼ (-0.58)
Equal 9 10.9% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 9 53.58% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 10.5 26.13% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 10.5 73.87% ▲ (+0.41)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 39.29% ▲ (+3.86)
Under 1.5 60.71% ▼ (-3.86)
Over 2.5 16.87% ▲ (+2.71)
Under 2.5 83.13% ▼ (-2.71)
Over 3.5 5.74% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 3.5 94.26% ▼ (-1.23)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5 68.8% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 0.5 31.2% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 1.5 36.04% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 63.96% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 2.5 14.52% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 85.48% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 4.81% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.19% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Larne 39.15%
Draw 25.91%
Glentoran 34.94%
Larne
1-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.42)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.52)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.46)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 5.52% ▲ (+1.25)
Total : 39.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-1.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.91%
Glentoran
0-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-1.13)
1-2 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.95)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.59)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 34.94%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Joe Thomson 39' yellowcard
  • Ross Clarke 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Jenkins 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronan Doherty 66'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 77'
  • yellowcard James Simpson 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 20' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 21' yellowcard
  • Dylan Sloan 67' yellowcard
  • Matt Lusty 67' yellowcard
  • Ronan Doherty 67' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 67' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lusty 67' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 90'+4' goal
  • Andy Ryan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Pat Hoban 43'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 44'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 46'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 49'
  • goal Pat Hoban 49'
  • yellowcard Danny Amos 62'
  • yellowcard Daniel Amos 63'
  • yellowcard Jordan Jenkins 75'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT The Oval
  • Daniel Larmour 23' goal
  • Daniel Larmour 24' goal
  • Ciaran Coll 61' yellowcard
  • Ben Gallagher 61' yellowcard
  • Danny Amos 75' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Amos 76' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 76' yellowcard
  • James Douglas 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 7'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill  7'
  • goal Christopher Gallagher 41'
  • goal Chris Gallagher 41'
  • yellowcard James Simpson 46'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 54'
  • goal Paul O'Neill  54'
  • yellowcard Matt Lusty 69'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 69'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lusty 69'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan  69'
  • goal Tomas Cosgrove 77'
  • goal Tomas Cosgrove  77'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Benjamin Magee 82' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Cian Bolger 51' yellowcard
  • Mark Randall 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Kane 12'
  • yellowcard Joseph Thomson 52'
  • yellowcard Fuad Sule 64'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • J 11' goal
  • Joseph Thomson 47' goal
  • Fuad Sule 80' yellowcard
  • goal Paul O'Neill 59'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 65'
  • goal Andy Ryan 67'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 89'