NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Inver Park

Larne vs Glentoran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
Ballymena 0 - 0 Larne

Glentoran

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 1 - 2 Crusaders
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jordan Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Glentoran has a probability of 34.94% and a draw has a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Glentoran win is 0-1 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

Larne 39.15% (+3.66)
Draw 25.91% (-0.79)
Glentoran 34.94% (-2.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.38% (+3.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.75% (+1.83)
Under 1.5 25.25% (-1.83)
Over 2.5 51.83% (+2.63)
Under 2.5 48.17% (-2.63)
Over 3.5 29.51% (+2.50)
Under 3.5 70.49% (-2.50)
Over 4.5 16.85% (+1.83)
Under 4.5 83.15% (-1.82)

First Half Winner

Larne 29.21% (+3.29)
Draw 43.17% (-0.98)
Glentoran 27.63% (-2.30)

Team To Score First

Larne 47.63% (+2.66)
No Goal 7.18% (-1.04)
Glentoran 45.19% (-1.63)

Corners

Over 8 46.42% (-0.72)
Equal 8 11.68% (-0.10)
Under 8 41.9% (+0.83)
Over 9 35.52% (-0.58)
Equal 9 10.9% (-0.16)
Under 9 53.58% (+0.72)
Over 10.5 26.13% (-0.41)
Under 10.5 73.87% (+0.41)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 39.29% (+3.86)
Under 1.5 60.71% (-3.86)
Over 2.5 16.87% (+2.71)
Under 2.5 83.13% (-2.71)
Over 3.5 5.74% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 94.26% (-1.23)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5 68.8% (-1.30)
Under 0.5 31.2% (+1.31)
Over 1.5 36.04% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 63.96% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 14.52% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 85.48% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 4.81% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.19% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Larne 39.15%
Draw 25.91%
Glentoran 34.94%
Larne
1-0 @ 9.33% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 5.94% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.52)
3-0 @ 3.23% (+0.46)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.39)
Other @ 5.52% (+1.25)
Total : 39.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-1.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 25.91%
Glentoran
0-1 @ 8.74% (-1.13)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.95)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.59)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.17)
Other @ 4.59% (-0.09)
Total : 34.94%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Joe Thomson 39' yellowcard
  • Ross Clarke 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Jenkins 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronan Doherty 66'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 77'
  • yellowcard James Simpson 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 20' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 21' yellowcard
  • Dylan Sloan 67' yellowcard
  • Matt Lusty 67' yellowcard
  • Ronan Doherty 67' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 67' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lusty 67' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 90'+4' goal
  • Andy Ryan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Pat Hoban 43'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 44'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 46'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 49'
  • goal Pat Hoban 49'
  • yellowcard Danny Amos 62'
  • yellowcard Daniel Amos 63'
  • yellowcard Jordan Jenkins 75'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT The Oval
  • Daniel Larmour 23' goal
  • Daniel Larmour 24' goal
  • Ciaran Coll 61' yellowcard
  • Ben Gallagher 61' yellowcard
  • Danny Amos 75' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Amos 76' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 76' yellowcard
  • James Douglas 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 7'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill  7'
  • goal Christopher Gallagher 41'
  • goal Chris Gallagher 41'
  • yellowcard James Simpson 46'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 54'
  • goal Paul O'Neill  54'
  • yellowcard Matt Lusty 69'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 69'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lusty 69'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan  69'
  • goal Tomas Cosgrove 77'
  • goal Tomas Cosgrove  77'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Benjamin Magee 82' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Cian Bolger 51' yellowcard
  • Mark Randall 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Kane 12'
  • yellowcard Joseph Thomson 52'
  • yellowcard Fuad Sule 64'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • J 11' goal
  • Joseph Thomson 47' goal
  • Fuad Sule 80' yellowcard
  • goal Paul O'Neill 59'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 65'
  • goal Andy Ryan 67'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 89'