NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Windsor Park

Linfield vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Limavady United 0 - 2 Linfield
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Darragh Leahy

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 0 - 4 Carrick
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Linfield win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win is 1-2 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result

Linfield 39.18% (+0.40)
Draw 25.42% (-0.19)
Carrick Rangers 35.4% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.11% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.74% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 22.26% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 55.31% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 44.69% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 32.92% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 67.08% (-0.74)
Over 4.5 18.85% (+0.59)
Under 4.5 81.15% (-0.58)

First Half Winner

Linfield 30.31% (+0.44)
Draw 41.16% (-0.25)
Carrick Rangers 28.52% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Linfield 48.15% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.17% (-0.10)
Carrick Rangers 45.68% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 61.65% (+0.68)
Equal 8 11.13% (-0.05)
Under 8 27.22% (-0.65)
Over 9 49.95% (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.35% (-0.68)
Over 10.5 38.68% (+0.59)
Under 10.5 61.32% (-0.59)

Linfield Goals

Over 1.5 41.27% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 58.73% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 17.91% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 82.09% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 6.17% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 93.83% (-0.30)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 70.28% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 29.72% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 38.66% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.29% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 83.71% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.74% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 94.26% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Linfield 39.18%
Draw 25.42%
Carrick Rangers 35.38%
Linfield
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.93% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.92% (+0.25)
Total : 39.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.39% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.05)
Total : 25.42%
Carrick Rangers
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.22)
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.15)
Other @ 5.49% (+0.17)
Total : 35.38%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Matthew Olosunde 45' goal
  • Ryan Waide 71' yellowcard
  • Luke McCullough 72' goal
  • Kyle Cherry 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Taylor 29'
  • yellowcard Sam Taylor 31'
  • yellowcard Kirk Millar 46'
  • yellowcard Robbie McDaid 66'
  • yellowcard Jamie Mulgrew 74'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • yellowcard Callumn Morrison 56'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 77'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris McKee 11' goal
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Ethan McGee 65' yellowcard
  • Matt Yates 86' goal
  • Matt Yates 90'+5' goal
  • goal Aidan Steele 71'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Joel Cooper 49' goal
  • Euan East 54' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 66' goal
  • Cammy Ballantyne 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 38'
  • yellowcard Cammy Ballantyne 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 3, 2024 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Joe Crowe 3' goal
  • David Cushley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Curtis Allen 72' yellowcard
  • Mark Surgenor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle McClean 77'
  • goal Joel Cooper 79'
  • goal Chris Shields 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Joel Cooper 35' yellowcard
  • Kirk Millar 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 6'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 35'
  • yellowcard Mark Surgenor 86'
  • yellowcard Steven Gordon 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Emmett McGuckin 90'+9'