NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Coleraine 3 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Chris McKee

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Carrick 0 - 0 Cliftonville
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Ballymena United has a probability of 33.58% and a draw has a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Ballymena United win is 1-0 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Ballymena United 33.58% ▲ (+6.23)
Draw 25.97% ▲ (+0.62)
Carrick Rangers 40.44% ▼ (-6.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.76% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.54% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 1.5 25.46% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 2.5 50.85% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 2.5 49.15% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 3.5 29.17% ▼ (-1.57)
Under 3.5 70.83% ▲ (+1.57)
Over 4.5 16.51% ▼ (-1.23)
Under 4.5 83.49% ▲ (+1.23)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 25.07% ▲ (+3.11)
Draw 42.05% ▲ (+0.33)
Carrick Rangers 32.88% ▼ (-3.44)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 40.86% ▲ (+3.32)
No Goal 7.6% ▲ (+0.47)
Carrick Rangers 51.54% ▼ (-3.79)

Corners

Over 8 57.03% ▲ (+3.04)
Equal 8 11.71% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 8 31.26% ▼ (-2.59)
Over 9 45.16% ▲ (+3.18)
Equal 9 11.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 9 42.97% ▼ (-3.04)
Over 10.5 34.14% ▲ (+3.02)
Under 10.5 65.86% ▼ (-3.02)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 34.03% ▲ (+4.32)
Under 1.5 65.97% ▼ (-4.33)
Over 2.5 13.52% ▲ (+2.78)
Under 2.5 86.48% ▼ (-2.79)
Over 3.5 4.11% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 3.5 95.89% ▼ (-0.88)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 72.34% ▼ (-4.32)
Under 0.5 27.66% ▲ (+4.31)
Over 1.5 40.11% ▼ (-5.79)
Under 1.5 59.89% ▲ (+5.79)
Over 2.5 17.06% ▼ (-4.54)
Under 2.5 82.94% ▲ (+4.54)
Over 3.5 6.58% ▼ (-1.99)
Under 3.5 93.42% ▲ (+1.99)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 33.58%
Draw 25.97%
Carrick Rangers 40.45%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+1.23)
2-1 @ 7.62% ▲ (+1.17)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+1.00)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.72)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.46)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.80)
Other @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.88)
Total : 33.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.29)
0-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.47)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.97%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.71)
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.51)
0-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-1.09)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.99)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-1.00)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.52)
Other @ 6.43% ▼ (-1.99)
Total : 40.45%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • goal 11'
  • goal 27'
  • goal 65'
NIFL Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Danny Purkis 9' goal
  • Danny Purkis 75' goal
  • goal Success Edogun 1'
  • yellowcard Igor Rutkowski 88'
  • goal Igor Rutkowski 90'
  • goal Igor Rutkowski 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • James Hood 58' yellowcard
  • Calvin McCurry 58' yellowcard
  • Igor Rutkowski 65' goal
  • Igor Rutkowski 69' goal
  • Donal Rocks 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Waide 61'
  • yellowcard Matthew Olosunde 70'
  • goal Danny Purkis 77'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daire O'Connor 65' goal
  • Danny Lafferty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Steele 40'
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 71'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Caolan Loughran 52' yellowcard
  • Kian Corbally 56' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'