UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Semi-Finals

Jun 5, 2025 at 8pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Spain
5 - 4
France

Williams (22'), Merino (25'), Yamal (54' pen., 67'), Pedri (55')
Yamal (33'), Gavi (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mbappe (59' pen.), Cherki (79'), Vivian (84' og.), Kolo (90+3')
Rabiot (51'), Hernandez (82'), Kone (90+6'), Kolo (90+4')

Coverage of the Nations League Semi-Finals clash between Spain and France.

The Match

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for their UEFA Nations League semi-final against Portugal in Munich on Wednesday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 3-3 Italy
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Germany vs. Portugal
Wednesday, June 4 at 8pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	6	14	14
2	Netherlands	6	6	9
3	Hungary	6	-7	6
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-13	2

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Denmark
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Germany vs. Portugal
Wednesday, June 4 at 8pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw has a probability of 24.3% and a win for Portugal has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Portugal win it is 0-1 (6.9%).

Result
Germany	Draw	Portugal
52.82%	24.28%	22.9%

Both teams to score 51.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35%

49.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33%

71.67%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25%

18.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.86%

50.13%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73%

36.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94%

73.05%

Score Analysis

Germany 52.82%

Portugal 22.9%

Draw 24.27%

Germany	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.18% Total : 52.82%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.9% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.9%