Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
ET Stade de France
  • Kylian Mbappe 37' yellowcard
  • Michael Olise 52' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 80' goal
  • Randal Kolo 103' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 35'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 45'
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 61'
  • yellowcard Dominik Livakovic 74'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Jakic 90'+5'

France vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Croatia 2 - 0 France

Croatia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Croatia 2 - 0 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%).

Result

France 54.83% (-0.11)
Draw 22.58% (+0.04)
Croatia 22.59% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.32% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 42.68% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 34.91% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 65.08% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 18.2% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.8% (+0.05)

France Goals

Over 0.5 84.52% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 15.48% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 55.64% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 44.36% (+0.11)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5 67.31% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.68% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.23% (-0.04)

Score analysis

France 54.83%
Draw 22.57%
Croatia 22.59%
France
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 54.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.57%
Croatia
1-2 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.66% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.16% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 22.59%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Ante Budimir 26' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 74'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 75'
Nations League
Jun 13, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matteo Guendouzi 18' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 62' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 67' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Modric 5'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 50'
Nations League
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Domagoj Vida 21' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 83' goal
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 52'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 85'
Nations League
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Maksimir
  • Nikola Vlasic 5' yellowcard
  • Filip Uremovic 57' yellowcard
  • Nikola Vlasic 64' goal
  • Dejan Lovren 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 5'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 8'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 79'
  • yellowcard Paul Pogba 90'+1'
Nations League
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stade de France
  • Clement Lenglet 38' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 43' goal
  • Dominik Livakovic 45'+1' goal
  • N'Golo Kante 59' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 65' goal
  • Steven N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi 68' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 77' goal
  • goal Dejan Lovren 17'
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 34'
  • goal Josip Brekalo 55'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 76'
  • yellowcard Dejan Lovren 76'
International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2020 8.00pm

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