/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
-
Josko Gvardiol
65'
-
Joao Felix
33'
-
Renato Veiga
90'
-
Fabio Silva
90'+5'
Croatia vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F26%2Fluka-modric_3.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fcristiano-ronaldo_1.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fbruno-fernandes_2.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Croatia
25.48%
▲
(+0.87)
Draw
24.72%
▼
(-0.53)
Portugal
49.79%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
53.17%
▲
(+2.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.83%
▲
(+2.82)
Under 2.5
49.16%
▼
(-2.82)
Over 3.5
28.77%
▲
(+2.50)
Under 3.5
71.23%
▼
(-2.50)
Over 4.5
13.83%
▲
(+1.66)
Under 4.5
86.17%
▼
(-1.66)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
66.27%
▲
(+2.28)
Under 0.5
33.73%
▼
(-2.28)
Over 1.5
29.61%
▲
(+2.40)
Under 1.5
70.38%
▼
(-2.40)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
80.23%
▲
(+0.99)
Under 0.5
19.76%
▼
(-0.99)
Over 1.5
48.19%
▲
(+1.57)
Under 1.5
51.81%
▼
(-1.57)
Score analysis
Croatia
25.48%
Draw
24.71%
Portugal
49.79%
Croatia
1-0
@
7.25%
▼
(-0.39)
2-1 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 25.48%
2-1 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 25.48%
Draw
1-1
@
11.74%
▼
(-0.26)
0-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.81)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-85.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.71%
0-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.81)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-85.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.71%
Portugal
0-1
@
10.8%
▼
(-0.94)
1-2 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.48)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.27)
1-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.14)
0-4 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-98.27)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.79%
1-2 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.48)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.27)
1-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.14)
0-4 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-98.27)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.79%
