Nations League | League A
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Croatia1 - 1Portugal
The Match
Match Report
Croatia come from behind to draw 1-1 with Portugal in Split on Monday evening, ensuring the hosts progress into the Nations League quarter-finals in second place.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with Croatia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Croatia | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Portugal |
25.48% ( 0.87) | 24.72% ( -0.52) | 49.79% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( 2.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
