Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Pod Goricom

Montenegro vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Montenegro 2 - 1 Cyprus

Armenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Armenia 2 - 0 Latvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montenegro win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw has a probability of 17.47% and a win for Armenia has a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.54%) , while for a Armenia win it is 1-2 (4.22%).

Result

Montenegro 66.9% ▼ (-0.68)
Draw 17.47% ▲ (+0.37)
Armenia 15.61% ▲ (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.97% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.65% ▼ (-1.77)
Under 1.5 17.35% ▲ (+1.78)
Over 2.5 63.76% ▼ (-2.06)
Under 2.5 36.24% ▲ (+2.06)
Over 3.5 41.69% ▼ (-2.39)
Under 3.5 58.31% ▲ (+2.39)
Over 4.5 29.27% ▼ (-2.50)
Under 4.5 70.73% ▲ (+2.50)

First Half Winner

Montenegro 51.99% ▼ (-3.32)
Draw 35.71% ▲ (+1.92)
Armenia 12.3% ▲ (+1.41)

Team To Score First

Montenegro 70.31% ▼ (-3.96)
No Goal 4.52% ▲ (+0.60)
Armenia 25.17% ▲ (+3.36)

Corners

Over 8 58.53% ▼ (-3.00)
Equal 8 10.21% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 8 31.26% ▲ (+3.45)
Over 9 48.03% ▼ (-2.36)
Equal 9 10.5% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 9 41.47% ▲ (+3.00)
Over 10.5 38.03% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 10.5 61.97% ▲ (+1.61)

Montenegro Goals

Over 1.5 64.76% ▼ (-1.94)
Under 1.5 35.24% ▲ (+1.95)
Over 2.5 40.32% ▼ (-2.83)
Under 2.5 59.68% ▲ (+2.83)
Over 3.5 21.01% ▼ (-3.07)
Under 3.5 78.99% ▲ (+3.07)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 47.78% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 0.5 52.22% ▼ (-1.08)
Over 1.5 20.95% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 79.05% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Montenegro 66.91%
Draw 17.47%
Armenia 15.61%
Montenegro
2-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.24)
1-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+1.15)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.56)
3-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 20.82% ▼ (-2.97)
Total : 66.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.60)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 17.47%
Armenia
1-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 15.61%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
  • Artur Serobyan 34' goal
  • Artur Serobyan 46' yellowcard
  • Eduard Spertsyan 65' goal
  • Edgar Sevikyan 76' yellowcard
  • goal Erik Piloyan 20' (OG)
  • goal Nikola Krstović 38'
  • yellowcard Milutin Osmajic 59'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Latkovic 82'
  • goal Aleksa Latkovic 89'
International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Vasilije Adzic 5' goal
  • Andrija Bulatovic 52' goal
  • Marko Vukcevic 80' yellowcard
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 1'
  • yellowcard Varazdat Haroyan 70'
  • yellowcard Edgar Grigoryan 78'
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 81'
  • yellowcard 83'
International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Styopa Mkrtchyan 14' yellowcard
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 19' goal
  • Styopa Mkrtchyan 83' redcard
  • David Yurchenko 85' yellowcard
  • Artem Avanesyan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Vukcevic 11'
  • yellowcard Milutin Osmajic 82'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 10, 2017 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Fatos Beciraj 2' goal
  • Stevan Jovetic 28' goal
  • Stevan Jovetic 54' goal
  • Stevan Jovetic 82' goal
  • goal Ruslan Koryan 89'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 11, 2016 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Artak Grigoryan 50' goal
  • Varazdat Haroyan 74' goal
  • Gevorg Ghazaryan 94' goal
  • goal Damir Kojasevic 36'
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 38'