Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Armenia vs Montenegro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Armenia 2 - 0 Latvia

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Montenegro 2 - 1 Cyprus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Armenia win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Montenegro has a probability of 33.33% and a draw has a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Armenia win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Montenegro win is 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.78%).

Result

Armenia 41.99% ▲ (+3.81)
Draw 24.68% ▼ (-0.31)
Montenegro 33.33% ▼ (-3.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.38% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.75% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 23.25% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 54.94% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 45.06% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 33.57% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 3.5 66.43% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 4.5 20.35% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 4.5 79.65% ▼ (-0.69)

First Half Winner

Armenia 30.63%
Draw 42.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Montenegro 27.05% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Armenia 51.67% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Montenegro 41.77% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.23% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.14% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 49.2% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 39.77% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 38.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 61.36% ▲ (+0.15)

Armenia Goals

Over 1.5 42.97% ▲ (+3.26)
Under 1.5 57.03% ▼ (-3.26)
Over 2.5 20.12% ▲ (+2.38)
Under 2.5 79.88% ▼ (-2.38)
Over 3.5 7.71% ▲ (+1.21)
Under 3.5 92.29% ▼ (-1.20)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 67.35% ▼ (-2.79)
Under 0.5 32.65% ▲ (+2.78)
Over 1.5 36% ▼ (-2.68)
Under 1.5 64% ▲ (+2.68)
Over 2.5 15.59% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 2.5 84.41% ▲ (+1.48)
Over 3.5 5.89% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 3.5 94.11% ▲ (+0.60)

Score analysis

Armenia 41.98%
Draw 24.68%
Montenegro 33.33%
Armenia
1-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.44)
2-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.35)
2-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.71)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.44)
3-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.52)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 7.3% ▲ (+1.18)
Total : 41.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% ▼ (-0.24)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.68%
Montenegro
0-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.66)
1-2 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.59)
0-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.72)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.61)
Total : 33.33%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Vasilije Adzic 5' goal
  • Andrija Bulatovic 52' goal
  • Marko Vukcevic 80' yellowcard
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 1'
  • yellowcard Varazdat Haroyan 70'
  • yellowcard Edgar Grigoryan 78'
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 81'
  • yellowcard 83'
International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Styopa Mkrtchyan 14' yellowcard
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 19' goal
  • Styopa Mkrtchyan 83' redcard
  • David Yurchenko 85' yellowcard
  • Artem Avanesyan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Vukcevic 11'
  • yellowcard Milutin Osmajic 82'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 10, 2017 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Fatos Beciraj 2' goal
  • Stevan Jovetic 28' goal
  • Stevan Jovetic 54' goal
  • Stevan Jovetic 82' goal
  • goal Ruslan Koryan 89'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 11, 2016 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Artak Grigoryan 50' goal
  • Varazdat Haroyan 74' goal
  • Gevorg Ghazaryan 94' goal
  • goal Damir Kojasevic 36'
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 38'