Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 17, 2026 7.45pm
Puskás Aréna

Hungary vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hungary win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw has a probability of 22.98% and a win for Northern Ireland has a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%) , while for a Northern Ireland win it is 0-1 (5.95%).

Result

Hungary 59.37% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 22.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Northern Ireland 17.62% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.54% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.87% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 26.13% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 49.78% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 50.22% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 27.11% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 72.89% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 16.37% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 83.63% ▲ (+0.20)

First Half Winner

Hungary 44.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 40.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Northern Ireland 14.77% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Hungary 65.24% ▼ (-0.50)
No Goal 7.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Northern Ireland 27.44% ▲ (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 56.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 32% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 44.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 43.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 33.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 66.39% ▼ (-0.07)

Hungary Goals

Over 1.5 52.5% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 47.5% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 26.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 73.27% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 10.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 51.47% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 0.5 48.53% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 1.5 19.24% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 80.76% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 2.5 5.33% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 94.67% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 1.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.8% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Hungary 59.38%
Draw 22.97%
Northern Ireland 17.61%
Hungary
1-0 @ 12.82% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 10.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 59.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 22.97%
Northern Ireland
0-1 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 17.61%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Ethan Galbraith 16' yellowcard
  • Isaac Price 31' yellowcard
  • Jamie Donley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Neill 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Shea Charles 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Áron Csongvai 42'
  • yellowcard Willi Orbán 45'+5'
International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Cathcart 27' yellowcard
  • Steven Davis 58' yellowcard
  • George Saville 84' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 85' yellowcard
  • goal Roland Sallai 56'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 56'
  • yellowcard Adam Lang 74'
  • yellowcard Adam Nagy 85'
European Championship
Sep 7, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 10' yellowcard
  • Conor McLaughlin 72' yellowcard
  • Chris Baird 81' yellowcard
  • Chris Baird 81' redcard
  • Kyle Lafferty 93' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Guzmics 19'
  • yellowcard Leandro De Almeida 41'
  • goal Richard Guzmics 74'
  • yellowcard Tamas Priskin 84'
  • yellowcard Krisztian Nemeth 89'
European Championship
Sep 7, 2014 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vilmos Vanczak 35' yellowcard
  • Tamas Priskin 75' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Norwood 44'
  • goal Niall McGinn 81'
  • goal Kyle Lafferty 88'