Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 16, 2026 7.45pm
Olympiastadion Berlin

Germany vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Netherlands has a probability of 33.1% and a draw has a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Netherlands win is 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.38%).

Result

Germany 46.74% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 20.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Netherlands 33.1% ▲ (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.85% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 14.47% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 67.42% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 32.54% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 3.5 44.78% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 55.22% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 29.99% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 4.5 70.01% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Germany 40.68%
Draw 33.38%
Netherlands 25.94%

Team To Score First

Germany 56.26% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Netherlands 40.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.34%
Equal 8 9.79%
Under 8 27.86%
Over 9 52%
Equal 9 10.34%
Under 9 37.66%
Over 10.5 41.88%
Under 10.5 58.12%

Germany Goals

Over 1.5 52.28% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 47.72% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 29.13% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 70.87% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 13.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 86.74% ▲ (+0.08)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 67.57% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 32.43% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 40.75% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 59.25% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 2.5 18.52% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 81.48% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 3.5 7.54% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 92.46% ▼ (-0.28)

Score analysis

Germany 46.75%
Draw 20.17%
Netherlands 33.1%
Germany
2-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 46.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.17%
Netherlands
1-2 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 33.1%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Quinten Timber 22' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 24' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 68' yellowcard
  • Virgil van Dijk  69' yellowcard
  • Cody Gakpo 90'+2' goal
  • goal Felix Nmecha 32'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 68'
Nations League
Oct 14, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Jamie Leweling 2' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 63' yellowcard
  • Jamie Leweling 64' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Waldemar Anton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 30'
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 63'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 90'+3'
Nations League
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Tijjani Reijnders 2' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 50' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 14'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 24'
  • yellowcard David Raum 32'
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 86'
International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 11' goal
  • Robert Andrich 53' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 66' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 85' goal
  • goal Joey Veerman 4'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 17'
International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Memphis Depay 29' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 68' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 86' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Muller 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raum 83'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 89'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 6, 2019 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Serge Gnabry 9' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 35' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 73' goal
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 35'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 49'
  • goal Frenkie de Jong 59'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 72'
  • goal Donyell Malen 79'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 91'