Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 13, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Rajko Mitić

Serbia vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Serbia has a probability of 26.91% and a draw has a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Serbia win is 1-0 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.68%).

Result

Serbia 26.91%
Draw 23.02%
Germany 50.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 21.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.52%
Under 2.5 44.48%
Over 3.5 33.2%
Under 3.5 66.8%
Over 4.5 19.96%
Under 4.5 80.04%

First Half Winner

Serbia 22.52%
Draw 35.63%
Germany 41.85%

Team To Score First

Serbia 33.48%
No Goal 5.72%
Germany 60.8%

Corners

Over 8 57.29%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 31.53%
Over 9 45.95%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 42.71%
Over 10.5 35.36%
Under 10.5 64.64%

Serbia Goals

Over 1.5 30.35%
Under 1.5 69.65%
Over 2.5 11.16%
Under 2.5 88.84%
Over 3.5 3.25%
Under 3.5 96.75%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 78.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 9.85%
Under 3.5 90.15%

Score analysis

Serbia 26.91%
Draw 23.02%
Germany 50.1%
Serbia
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.47%
2-0 @ 3.96%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 26.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.02%
Germany
1-2 @ 9.58%
0-1 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.52%
2-3 @ 3.47%
Other @ 9.75%
Total : 50.1%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Tom Bischof 39' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 61' goal
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 73'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Maksimovic 79'
  • yellowcard Veljko Paunović 79'
International Friendlies
Mar 20, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA (Wolfsburg)
  • Leon Goretzka 69' goal
  • goal Luka Jovic 12'
  • redcard Milan Pavkov 94'
World Cup
Jun 18, 2010 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • goal Milan Jovanovic 38'