Nations League
Gameweek
4
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Azerbaijan vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Lithuania has a probability of 27.32% and a draw has a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Azerbaijan win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lithuania win is 0-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.49%).
Result
Azerbaijan
47.58%
▲
(+2.79)
Draw
25.13%
▼
(-0.20)
Lithuania
27.32%
▼
(-2.57)
Both Teams to Score:
50.76%
▼
(-2.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.21%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 1.5
24.79%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 2.5
51.73%
▼
(-1.82)
Under 2.5
48.28%
▲
(+1.83)
Over 3.5
29.56%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 3.5
70.44%
▲
(+1.50)
Over 4.5
17.15%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 4.5
82.85%
▲
(+1.23)
First Half Winner
Azerbaijan
40.39%
▲
(+5.32)
Draw
41.62%
▼
(-1.17)
Lithuania
17.99%
▼
(-4.18)
Team To Score First
Azerbaijan
59.6%
▲
(+4.08)
No Goal
7.04%
▲
(+0.26)
Lithuania
33.36%
▼
(-4.35)
Corners
Over 8
53.09%
▲
(+2.40)
Equal 8
12.38%
▲
(+0.98)
Under 8
34.53%
▼
(-3.36)
Over 9
40.92%
▲
(+1.24)
Equal 9
12.17%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 9
46.91%
▼
(-2.40)
Over 10.5
29.99%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 10.5
70.01%
▼
(-0.11)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 1.5
45.57%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 1.5
54.43%
▼
(-1.17)
Over 2.5
21.37%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 2.5
78.63%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 3.5
8%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
92%
▼
(-0.25)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
62.19%
▼
(-2.83)
Under 0.5
37.81%
▲
(+2.84)
Over 1.5
29.45%
▼
(-3.10)
Under 1.5
70.55%
▲
(+3.10)
Over 2.5
11.01%
▼
(-1.96)
Under 2.5
88.99%
▲
(+1.95)
Over 3.5
3.55%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 3.5
96.45%
▲
(+0.82)
Score analysis
Azerbaijan
47.59%
Draw
25.12%
Lithuania
27.34%
Azerbaijan
1-0
@
10.58%
▲
(+0.75)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+1.08)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.49)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.30)
Total : 47.59%
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+1.08)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.49)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.30)
Total : 47.59%
Draw
1-1
@
11.49%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.12%
0-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.12%
Lithuania
0-1
@
7.22%
▼
(-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.33)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.41)
Other @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.76)
Total : 27.34%
1-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.33)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.41)
Other @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.76)
Total : 27.34%
Head to Head
Nations League
Gameweek
2
-
Armandas Kučys
9'
-
Gvidas Gineitis
52'
-
Mahir Emreli
14'
-
Rahil Mammadov
27'
-
Tellur Mütallimov
39'
-
Aleksey Isayev
56'
International Friendlies
-
Dimitrij Nazarov
66'
-
Maksim Medvedev
83'
-
Modestas Vorobjovas
36'
-
Saulius Mikoliunas
76'
-
Justinas Marazas
88'