Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 2.00pm
S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

All competitions

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Azerbaijan has a probability of 24.31% and a draw has a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win is 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result

Lithuania 52.67%
Draw 22.98%
Azerbaijan 24.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.73%
Under 1.5 27.27%
Over 2.5 50.23%
Under 2.5 49.77%
Over 3.5 28%
Under 3.5 72%
Over 4.5 17.11%
Under 4.5 82.89%

First Half Winner

Lithuania 42.85%
Draw 42.55%
Azerbaijan 14.6%

Team To Score First

Lithuania 61.63%
No Goal 7.67%
Azerbaijan 30.7%

Corners

Over 8 44.38%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 44.25%
Over 9 33.92%
Equal 9 10.46%
Under 9 55.62%
Over 10.5 25.03%
Under 10.5 74.97%

Lithuania Goals

Over 1.5 46.82%
Under 1.5 53.18%
Over 2.5 23.57%
Under 2.5 76.43%
Over 3.5 9.84%
Under 3.5 90.16%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 56.87%
Under 0.5 43.13%
Over 1.5 23.81%
Under 1.5 76.19%
Over 2.5 8.28%
Under 2.5 91.72%
Over 3.5 2.56%
Under 3.5 97.44%

Score analysis

Lithuania 52.65%
Draw 22.98%
Azerbaijan 24.32%
Lithuania
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.29%
3-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 9.78%
Total : 52.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 22.98%
Azerbaijan
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 24.32%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2019 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bakcell Arena (Bakı (Baku))
  • Dimitrij Nazarov 66' yellowcard
  • Maksim Medvedev 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Modestas Vorobjovas 36'
  • yellowcard Saulius Mikoliunas 76'
  • yellowcard Justinas Marazas 88'