National League
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT VBS Community Stadium
  • Temi Babalola 20' goal
  • Emmanuel Osadebe 27' goal
  • Jake Taylor 63' yellowcard
  • Sam Folarin 65' yellowcard
  • goal Corey McKeown 34'
  • yellowcard Nathan Sheron 67'
  • yellowcard Cameron John 82'
  • yellowcard Jordan Hugill 89'

Sutton United vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Sutton 1 - 0 Altrincham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
David Ogbonna

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Aldershot 0 - 1 Hartlepool
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Corey McKeown

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Sutton United 39.7% ▲ (+0.35)
Draw 25.38% ▼ (-0.11)
Hartlepool United 34.86% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.45% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 23.51% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 53.52% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 46.48% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 3.5 30.25% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 69.75% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 17% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 83% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Sutton United 32.13% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 40.94%
Hartlepool United 26.93% ▼ (-0.42)

Team To Score First

Sutton United 49.79% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 6.75% ▼ (-0.13)
Hartlepool United 43.46% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.23% ▲ (+1.05)
Equal 8 11.56% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 8 32.22% ▼ (-0.89)
Over 9 44.6% ▲ (+1.14)
Equal 9 11.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 43.77% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 10.5 33.85% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 10.5 66.15% ▼ (-1.11)

Sutton United Goals

Over 1.5 40.53% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 59.47% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 2.5 16.89% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 83.11% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 5.69% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 94.31% ▼ (-0.15)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 69.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 30.69% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 36.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 63.33% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 14.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 4.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.18% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Sutton United 39.7%
Draw 25.38%
Hartlepool United 34.85%
Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 39.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.38%
Hartlepool United
1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 34.85%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 33
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Suit Direct Stadium
  • Charlie Caton 65' yellowcard
  • Gavan Holohan 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Charlie Bell 65' yellowcard
  • Sam Folarin 73' yellowcard
  • Calvin Okike 81' yellowcard
  • Vadaine Oliver 81' yellowcard
  • goal Osman Foyo 63'
  • yellowcard Charlie Bell 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Ashley Nadesan 70'
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 81'
  • yellowcard David Ogbonna 81'
  • goal Kai Jennings 90'
National League
Oct 18, 2025 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Finley Barbrook 26' yellowcard
  • Will Davies 46' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Dodds 15'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 56'
  • goal Gary Madine 76'
  • goal Jack Taylor 86' (OG)
National League Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Darren Robinson 4' yellowcard
  • Luke Waterfall 35' yellowcard
  • Luke Charman 55' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 58' goal
  • David Ferguson 62' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 71' goal
  • Luke Charman 79' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 85' goal
  • goal Jayden Harris 6'
  • goal Ashley Nadesan 24'
  • yellowcard Finley Barbrook 29'
  • yellowcard Charlie Waller 42'
  • yellowcard Eduino Vaz 53'
  • goal Lewis Simper 83'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Dan Kemp 43' goal
  • Daniel Dodds 45'+3' goal
  • goal David Ajiboye 18'
  • goal Lee Angol 31'
League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Will Randall 53' goal
  • Harry Beautyman 66' goal