Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
The Suit Direct Stadium

Hartlepool United vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.00pm
Hebburn Town 2 - 3 Hartlepool

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 12.00pm
Luhansk 1 - 1 Grimsby Town

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Hartlepool United has a probability of 32.48% and a draw has a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win is 1-0 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).

Result

Hartlepool United 32.48% (-0.02)
Draw 26.12%
Grimsby Town 41.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 24.85% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.65% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.35% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.1% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.9% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.11% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.89% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 25.41% (+0.02)
Draw 42.62% (+0.01)
Grimsby Town 31.97% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 43.71%
No Goal 7.27%
Grimsby Town 49.02%

Corners

Over 8 63.75%
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 24.94%
Over 9 51.61%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 36.25%
Over 10.5 39.76%
Under 10.5 60.24%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 33.8% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.74% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.99%
Under 3.5 96.01%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.47% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.53% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.43% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.57% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.3% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.7% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.17%
Under 3.5 93.83%

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 32.48%
Draw 26.12%
Grimsby Town 41.38%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.26% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 32.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.27%
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.12%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-2 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.09%
Total : 41.38%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Blundell Park
  • Michee Efete 54' goal
  • goal Dan Kemp 19'
  • goal Dan Kemp 68'
  • goal Dan Kemp 72'
  • goal Josh Umerah 76'
League Two Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alex Lacey 78' goal
  • Niall Maher 82' goal
  • goal Gavan Holohan 6'
League Two
Jan 7, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nicky Featherstone 75' yellowcard
  • goal Adi Yussuf 34'
  • yellowcard Brandon Comley 82'
  • yellowcard Omar Bogle 93'
League Two
Oct 1, 2016 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • yellowcard Jake Carroll 4'
  • goal Padraig Amond 25'
  • goal Padraig Amond 36'
  • goal Nathan Thomas 60'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thomas 62'
League Two
Dec 26, 2006 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Barron 12' yellowcard
  • Ben Clark 28' yellowcard
  • Jon Daly 52' goal
  • Andy Monkhouse 82' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Paterson 66'
  • yellowcard Anthony Pulis 85'
League Two
Sep 26, 2006 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nick Fenton 16' goal
  • Ricky Ravenhill 51' yellowcard
  • Nick Fenton 61' yellowcard
  • Gary Croft 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Daly 45'
  • goal Gary Liddle 52'
  • goal Jon Daly 85'
  • goal Joel Porter 90'