Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.