Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.