National League
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Miguel Azeez 7' goal
  • Regan Linney 33' goal
  • Josh Williams 38' goal
  • Regan Linney 52' yellowcard
  • Junior Luamba 68' goal
  • goal Jordan Richards 28'
  • yellowcard Jordan Richards 36'
  • yellowcard James Gale 57'
  • yellowcard Will Evans 64'
  • goal Ross Barrows 84'

Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Wealdstone 1 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Harvey Bunker

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Scunthorpe 3 - 1 Solihull
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Alfie Beestin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.47% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%) , while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (5.88%).

Result

Carlisle United 54.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Scunthorpe United 21.88% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.75% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.5% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 38.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 40.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Scunthorpe United 21.61% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 57.95% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.13%
Scunthorpe United 36.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.58% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 8 10.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 23.22% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 9 55.45% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 33.42% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 10.5 44.29% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 10.5 55.71% ▼ (-0.19)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 55.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 29.01%
Under 2.5 70.99%
Over 3.5 12.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 60.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 71.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 90.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 54.65%
Draw 23.47%
Scunthorpe United 21.87%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 54.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.47%
Scunthorpe United
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-1 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.87%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Elliot Embleton 22' goal
  • Elliot Embleton 23' goal
  • David Ajiboye 57' goal
  • Hugh Parker 81' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 81' yellowcard
  • David Ajiboye 84' goal
  • Jack Ellis 87' yellowcard
  • Terell Thomas 87' yellowcard
  • Charlie Wyke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Cal Roberts 40'
  • goal Callum Roberts 40'
  • yellowcard Connor Smith 58'
  • yellowcard Carlton Ubaezuonu 71'
  • yellowcard Alfie Beestin 71'
  • yellowcard Joe Starbuck 71'
  • goal Alfie Beestin 90'+4'
National League
Oct 4, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jai Rowe 35' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 52' yellowcard
  • goal Rodney McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 59'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordan Gibson 81' goal
  • Brennan Dickenson 90'+5' goal
  • goal Aaron Jarvis 3'
  • goal Manny Onariase 44'
  • yellowcard Alex Perry 66'
  • yellowcard Myles Hippolyte 78'
  • yellowcard Jai Rowe 86'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 60' goal
  • Jon Mellish 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 45'+1'
League Two Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Glanford Park
  • Jordan Hallam 35' goal
  • Lewis Spence 74' yellowcard
  • Alfie Beestin 84' yellowcard