National League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Wealdstone 1 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Harvey Bunker

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Scunthorpe 3 - 1 Solihull
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Alfie Beestin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw has a probability of 23.47% and a win for Scunthorpe United has a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.4%) , while for a Scunthorpe United win it is 1-2 (5.88%).

Result

Carlisle United 54.66% (+0.01)
Draw 23.47% (-0.02)
Scunthorpe United 21.88% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.75% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.52% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.48% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.34% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.66% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.79% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.21% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.5% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.5% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 38.38% (-0.06)
Draw 40.01% (+0.05)
Scunthorpe United 21.61% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 57.95% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.13%
Scunthorpe United 36.92% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.58% (+0.27)
Equal 8 10.19% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.22% (-0.27)
Over 9 55.45% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.13% (+0.03)
Under 9 33.42% (-0.27)
Over 10.5 44.29% (+0.19)
Under 10.5 55.71% (-0.19)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 55.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 29.01%
Under 2.5 70.99%
Over 3.5 12.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.76% (+0.02)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 60.37% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.63% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.56% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 71.44% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.68% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 90.32% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.08% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 54.65%
Draw 23.47%
Scunthorpe United 21.87%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 10.17% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.08% (-0.01)
Total : 54.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.47%
Scunthorpe United
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-1 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92% (+0.01)
Total : 21.87%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Elliot Embleton 22' goal
  • Elliot Embleton 23' goal
  • David Ajiboye 57' goal
  • Hugh Parker 81' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 81' yellowcard
  • David Ajiboye 84' goal
  • Jack Ellis 87' yellowcard
  • Terell Thomas 87' yellowcard
  • Charlie Wyke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Cal Roberts 40'
  • goal Callum Roberts 40'
  • yellowcard Connor Smith 58'
  • yellowcard Carlton Ubaezuonu 71'
  • yellowcard Alfie Beestin 71'
  • yellowcard Joe Starbuck 71'
  • goal Alfie Beestin 90'+4'
National League
Oct 4, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jai Rowe 35' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 52' yellowcard
  • goal Rodney McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 59'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordan Gibson 81' goal
  • Brennan Dickenson 90'+5' goal
  • goal Aaron Jarvis 3'
  • goal Manny Onariase 44'
  • yellowcard Alex Perry 66'
  • yellowcard Myles Hippolyte 78'
  • yellowcard Jai Rowe 86'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 60' goal
  • Jon Mellish 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 45'+1'
League Two Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Glanford Park
  • Jordan Hallam 35' goal
  • Lewis Spence 74' yellowcard
  • Alfie Beestin 84' yellowcard