Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.