National League
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Miguel Azeez 29' goal
  • Harvey Bunker 46' goal
  • Harvey Bunker 66' goal
  • Regan Linney 75' goal
  • goal Joe Kizzi 51'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 87'

Carlisle United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Yeovil 1 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Harvey Bunker

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Barrow 1 - 2 Hornchurch
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Joe Kizzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.87% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-2 (5.13%).

Result

Carlisle United 60.51%
Draw 20.87%
AFC Hornchurch 18.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.5%
Under 1.5 19.5%
Over 2.5 59.23%
Under 2.5 40.77%
Over 3.5 36.91%
Under 3.5 63.09%
Over 4.5 23.43%
Under 4.5 76.57%

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 42.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 38.46% ▼ (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 18.82%

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 62.56%
No Goal 5.04%
AFC Hornchurch 32.4%

Corners

Over 8 57.52%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 31.57%
Over 9 46.42%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 42.48%
Over 10.5 36.01%
Under 10.5 63.99%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 58.54%
Under 1.5 41.46%
Over 2.5 32.06%
Under 2.5 67.94%
Over 3.5 13.8%
Under 3.5 86.2%

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 55.74%
Under 0.5 44.26%
Over 1.5 24.87%
Under 1.5 75.13%
Over 2.5 7.72%
Under 2.5 92.28%
Over 3.5 2.57%
Under 3.5 97.43%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 60.51%
Draw 20.88%
AFC Hornchurch 18.62%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 10.37%
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 13.79%
Total : 60.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.88%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-1 @ 4.53%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 18.62%