National League
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Miguel Azeez 29' goal
  • Harvey Bunker 46' goal
  • Harvey Bunker 66' goal
  • Regan Linney 75' goal
  • goal Joe Kizzi 51'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 87'

Carlisle United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Yeovil 1 - 1 Carlisle

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Barrow 1 - 2 Hornchurch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw has a probability of 20.87% and a win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a AFC Hornchurch win it is 1-2 (5.13%).

Result

Carlisle United 60.51%
Draw 20.87%
AFC Hornchurch 18.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.5%
Under 1.5 19.5%
Over 2.5 59.23%
Under 2.5 40.77%
Over 3.5 36.91%
Under 3.5 63.09%
Over 4.5 23.43%
Under 4.5 76.57%

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 42.72% (+0.02)
Draw 38.46% (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 18.82%

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 62.56%
No Goal 5.04%
AFC Hornchurch 32.4%

Corners

Over 8 57.52%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 31.57%
Over 9 46.42%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 42.48%
Over 10.5 36.01%
Under 10.5 63.99%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 58.54%
Under 1.5 41.46%
Over 2.5 32.06%
Under 2.5 67.94%
Over 3.5 13.8%
Under 3.5 86.2%

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 55.74%
Under 0.5 44.26%
Over 1.5 24.87%
Under 1.5 75.13%
Over 2.5 7.72%
Under 2.5 92.28%
Over 3.5 2.57%
Under 3.5 97.43%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 60.51%
Draw 20.88%
AFC Hornchurch 18.62%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 10.37%
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 13.79%
Total : 60.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.88%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-1 @ 4.53%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 18.62%