National League
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT SO Legal Stadium
  • Paul Kalambayi 46' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 77' goal
  • Xavier Benjamin 90' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Kizzi 57'
  • goal Henry Hearn 61'
  • yellowcard Bobby Kelman 90'

Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 2 - 0 Barrow

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 3 - 0 Kidderminster

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Barrow 41.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.78% ▼ (-0.01)
AFC Hornchurch 31.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.17%
Under 1.5 23.83%
Over 2.5 53.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.94%
Under 3.5 69.06%
Over 4.5 17.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.06% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Barrow 30.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 42.33% ▼ (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 27.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Barrow 50.29% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.3%
AFC Hornchurch 42.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 27.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 49.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 39.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 38.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 10.5 61.84% ▼ (-0.10)

Barrow Goals

Over 1.5 41.78%
Under 1.5 58.22%
Over 2.5 18.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 81.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.54%
Under 3.5 93.46%

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 67.41%
Under 0.5 32.59%
Over 1.5 34.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 13.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.07%
Under 3.5 94.93%

Score analysis

Barrow 41.18%
Draw 26.78%
AFC Hornchurch 31.99%
Barrow
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 6.36%
Total : 41.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.89%
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.78%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-1 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 31.99%