National League
Rochdale
May 3, 2026 3.00pm
Crown Oil Arena
Scunthorpe

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Rochdale 1 - 1 York City
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
Scunthorpe 1 - 0 Southend
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Callum Roberts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw has a probability of 23.69% and a win for Scunthorpe United has a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Scunthorpe United win it is 0-1 (6.24%).

Result

Rochdale 53.28% ▲ (+1.49)
Draw 23.69% ▼ (-0.21)
Scunthorpe United 23.03% ▼ (-1.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.17% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.96% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 22.04% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 2.5 55.41% ▲ (+2.11)
Under 2.5 44.59% ▼ (-2.11)
Over 3.5 32.54% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 3.5 67.46% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 4.5 18.95% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 4.5 81.05% ▼ (-0.97)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 39.18% ▲ (+39.18)
Draw 38.63% ▲ (+38.64)
Scunthorpe United 22.19% ▲ (+22.19)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 58.26% ▲ (+58.26)
No Goal 5.38% ▲ (+5.38)
Scunthorpe United 36.36% ▲ (+36.36)

Corners

Over 8 51.96% ▲ (+51.96)
Equal 8 11.92% ▲ (+11.92)
Under 8 36.12% ▲ (+36.12)
Over 9 40.36% ▲ (+40.36)
Equal 9 11.6% ▲ (+11.60)
Under 9 48.04% ▲ (+48.04)
Over 10.5 29.99% ▲ (+29.99)
Under 10.5 70.01% ▲ (+70.02)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 51.83% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 1.5 48.17% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 2.5 25.59% ▲ (+1.38)
Under 2.5 74.41% ▼ (-1.39)
Over 3.5 9.73% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 90.27% ▼ (-0.25)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 61.16% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 0.5 38.84% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 1.5 27.56% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 72.44% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 9.02% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 90.98% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Rochdale 53.27%
Draw 23.68%
Scunthorpe United 23.02%
Rochdale
2-1 @ 10.4% ▲ (+0.74)
1-0 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.55)
3-1 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.67)
Other @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 53.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.34)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.66)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.68%
Scunthorpe United
0-1 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.39)
1-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.62)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.02%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 40
Scunthorpe
Mar 25, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sands Venue Stadium
Rochdale
  • Callum Roberts 60' goal
  • L. Farrell 69' yellowcard
  • Alfie Beestin 69' yellowcard
  • Aidan Dausch 78' yellowcard
  • Alfie Beestin 87' goal
  • goal Luke Hannant 31'
  • goal Aidan Barlow 51'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 69'
  • yellowcard Ian Henderson 82'
  • yellowcard Bryce Hosannah 82'
  • yellowcard E. Francis 88'
National League
Rochdale
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 2
FT Crown Oil Arena
Scunthorpe
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 25' yellowcard
  • Jake Burger 29' yellowcard
  • Ryan East 32' goal
  • Casey Pettit 64' yellowcard
  • Edward Francis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • E. Francis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Cal Roberts 17'
  • goal Callum Roberts 17'
  • yellowcard Carlton Ubaezuonu 70'
  • yellowcard Aidan Dausch 82'
  • yellowcard Joe Starbuck 90'
League Two Gameweek 33
Scunthorpe
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Rochdale
  • Manny Onariase 13' goal
  • Jai Rowe 17' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 28' yellowcard
  • Anthony Grant 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 38'
  • goal Liam Kelly 51'
  • goal Max Taylor 83'
  • yellowcard George Broadbent 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 2
Rochdale
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
Scunthorpe
League One Gameweek 39
Rochdale
Mar 23, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena (Rochdale, Greater Manchester)
Scunthorpe
  • Aaron Wilbraham 14' goal
  • Kgosi Ntlhe 51' goal
  • Aaron Wilbraham 60' goal
  • goal Jordan Hallam 16'
  • yellowcard Harrison McGahey 27'
  • yellowcard Tony McMahon 42'
League One Gameweek 7
Scunthorpe
Sep 8, 2018 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Glanford Park (Scunthorpe)
Rochdale
  • Lee Novak 2' goal
  • Ryan Colclough 18' goal
  • Charlie Goode 54' goal
  • Matthew Lund 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 26'
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 52'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 55'
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 68'
  • goal Matty Gillam 83'

Form Data

Rochdale 1 - 1 York City
Braintree 1 - 2 Rochdale
Rochdale 2 - 1 Wealdstone
Hartlepool 0 - 0 Rochdale
Rochdale 2 - 4 Morecambe
Sutton 1 - 2 Rochdale
Scunthorpe 1 - 0 Southend
Scunthorpe 0 - 1 Eastleigh
Wealdstone 1 - 1 Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe 1 - 0 Brackley Town
Gateshead 2 - 0 Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe 0 - 0 Hartlepool