National League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. George's Stadium
  • Mason Barrett 61' yellowcard
  • Aaron Henry 90' goal
  • goal David Ajiboye 34'
  • yellowcard Georgie Kelly 61'
  • yellowcard Brad Nicholson 85'
  • yellowcard Miguel Azeez 89'
  • yellowcard Stephen Wearne 90'+4'

Wealdstone vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Worthing 1 - 0 Wealdstone
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Micah Obiero

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Carlisle 4 - 1 Hornchurch
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Harvey Bunker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Wealdstone 30.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Carlisle United 44.27% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.18%
Under 1.5 22.82%
Over 2.5 53.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.93% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 18.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.69% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Wealdstone 26.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Carlisle United 31.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Wealdstone 44.55%
No Goal 6.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Carlisle United 49.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 34.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 42.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 46.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 31.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 1.5 33.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.53%
Under 2.5 79.47%
Over 3.5 8.04%
Under 3.5 91.96%

Score analysis

Wealdstone 30.77%
Draw 24.96%
Carlisle United 44.27%
Wealdstone
1-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 30.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.96%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.89%
Total : 44.27%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 26
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • L. Armstrong 25' goal
  • Aaron Hayden 60' goal
  • Elliot Embleton 72' yellowcard
  • Georgie Kelly 80' yellowcard
  • David Ajiboye 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sakariya Hassan 70'
  • yellowcard Steven Turner 81'
  • yellowcard Olufela Olomola 81'
National League
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT