National League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
St. George's Stadium

Wealdstone vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Worthing 1 - 0 Wealdstone
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Luke Norris

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Carlisle 4 - 1 Hornchurch
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Harvey Bunker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Wealdstone has a probability of 30.77% and a draw has a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Wealdstone win is 1-0 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result

Wealdstone 30.77% (+0.02)
Draw 24.96% (-0.02)
Carlisle United 44.27% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.18%
Under 1.5 22.82%
Over 2.5 53.85% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.15% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.07% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.93% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 18.31% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.69% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Wealdstone 26.52% (-0.02)
Draw 42.33% (-0.02)
Carlisle United 31.15% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Wealdstone 44.55%
No Goal 6.41% (-0.02)
Carlisle United 49.04% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.52% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 34.85% (+0.04)
Over 9 42.06% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 46.48% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 31.66% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.33% (+0.02)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 1.5 33.27% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.73% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.82% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.18% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.8% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.2% (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.75% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.25% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.05% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.53%
Under 2.5 79.47%
Over 3.5 8.04%
Under 3.5 91.96%

Score analysis

Wealdstone 30.77%
Draw 24.96%
Carlisle United 44.27%
Wealdstone
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.65% (+0.01)
Total : 30.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.96%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.89%
Total : 44.27%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 26
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • L. Armstrong 25' goal
  • Aaron Hayden 60' goal
  • Elliot Embleton 72' yellowcard
  • Georgie Kelly 80' yellowcard
  • David Ajiboye 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sakariya Hassan 70'
  • yellowcard Steven Turner 81'
  • yellowcard Olufela Olomola 81'
National League
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT