Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.