National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Adam Moseley 25' goal
  • Luke Griffiths 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ogwuru 84' goal
  • Daniel Ogwuru 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Newby 20'
  • goal Elliot Newby 81'

Southport vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Spalding 2 - 0 Southport
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Daniel Ogwuru

Morecambe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Morecambe 4 - 0 Buxton
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Matty Daly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Southport 47.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 24.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Morecambe 28.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.06% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 20.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 57.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 35.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 21.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 78.44% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Southport 38.51% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 39.19% ▲ (+0.25)
Morecambe 22.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Southport 56.18% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 5.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Morecambe 37.97% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 65.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 23.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 53.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 34.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 58.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 49.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 50.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 24.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 75.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 10.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 89.74% ▲ (+0.07)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 64.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Southport 47.01%
Draw 24.52%
Morecambe 28.42%
Southport
2-1 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 47.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.52%
Morecambe
1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 28.42%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 7.30pm
TBC